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Research Reports – Scarcity in Abundance

Menno van Doorn
December 12, 2023

Two new research reports from SogetiLabs have been launched simultaneously. Entitled ‘Scarcity in Abundance’, the reports describe a future in which an abundance of artificial intelligence and a scarcity of physical resources (such as water, metals, a stable climate and biodiversity) coincide. The paradox that this creates poses a major dilemma for organizations and society: using artificial intelligence to stimulate economic growth causes more scarcity of physical resources. We see the rapid growth of the economy in recent decades and the recent explosion in the use of AI as a major social experiment. In both reports, major issues of the current time are described through the lens of both experiments.

The Great AI-Experiment

The main challenges we face today are the result of two major experiments. One experiment started quite recently, when OpenAI at the end of 2022 decided to release a new form of artificial intelligence (AI) to the general public. At stellar pace, people all over the world flocked to it. The creators of ChatGPT are fascinatingly observing us from their laboratory as their unknowing guinea pigs.

The Growth-Experiment: ‘The Rise of the Experience Ecology’

The second experiment started some seventy years ago with the great acceleration of the economy. Unprecedented year-on-year growth, based on the technological breakthroughs of the industrial revolution, set the tone for today’s expectations. Products, technology and services came in abundance. Inventors and organizations alike, watched with fascination as this growth experiment dramatically changed our lives.

Download ‘The Rise of the Experience Ecology’ here https://www.ict-books.com/topics/the-rise-of-the-experience-ecology-info

Download ‘The Great AI Experiment’ here https://www.ict-books.com/topics/the-great-ai-experiment-info

About the author

Director and Trend Analyst VINT | Netherlands
Menno is Director of the Sogeti Research Institute for the Analysis of New Technology (VINT). He mixes personal life experiences with the findings of the 19 years of research done at the VINT Research Institute. Menno has co-authored many books on the impact of new technology on business and society. This is the list of the books and research project he has worked on: Making IT-Governance Work Ope

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