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The future is about speed and uncertainty (VUCA). The question is how our organisations are going to deal with this reality. “The average age of an S&P 500 company is under 20 years” (cnbc.com). “The forecast is that this drops to 14 years” (inc.com). What does it mean when this drops under the six years average, for the strategic planning?
In previous blogs, agile and ecosystems were positioned in this context. But these two are not enterprise design methods. The key question is: How do we design companies so that they can surpass the industry average?
There is a possibility that antifragility harbors design principles for this challenge. I personally am convinced after reading the book Antifragile in 2013 that this is the field to study to find these design principles. Chaos Engineering (Netflix, Chaos Monkey) proved that antifragile can be applied to IT Systems.
I am convinced that after applying the antifragile way to IT systems, the application to organizations is the logical next step. That is the reason that I am writing my master thesis on the subject of antifragility and organizations.
My research is from the beginning open in line with open science and open access, so that everybody can collaborate and validate (Gitlab wiki & paper).
I want to invite everybody that reads this blog, join in the quest for organisation design principles to let organizations cope with the dynamic world we live in.
Please join in comments, improvements, tips, critics, or just with a <thumbs up> 🙂
Looking forward to combine forces in this complex field.
Terrific topic for a master thesis, Edzo. Looking forward to hearing about your progress.
I think you are on to something here!
In Antifragile Nassim Nicholas Taleb offers a solution how to gain from disorder and chaos while being protected from fragilities and adverse events. This week the New York Times reported on the weird Dutch custom of ‘droppen’. Yes the Dutch even let their children drive bikes to school by themselves. I guess the message is that people (and organizations) learn more from adverse situations that living in a Nanny environment. The message is design for change & turbulent times + try to place people that have a track record of being lucky in key positions.